AN APPEAL TO FRIENDS..

….also sent to Mayor Seattle and PI

Our good neighbours in Washington State are concerned …and rightly so , in my opinion. http://www.seattlepi.com/local/politics/article/A-pipeline-next-door-Canadian-project-means-34-9223269.php

Their concerns have been demonstrated for sometime now…when in 2010 they produced a report to study the risks of the ever increasing marine traffic in out shared Salish Sea…see  link below;Vessel Traffic Risk Assessment (VTRA): Preventing Oil Spills from Large Ships and Barges In Northern Puget Sound & Strait of Juan de Fuca January 2014

https://www.seas.gwu.edu/~dorpjr/VTRA/PSP/FINAL%20REPORT/PSP%20FINAL%20REPORT%20-%20DRAFT%20012214%20-%20HQ.pdf

page 157   “CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS A detailed consideration of traffic levels is particularly important as one moves forward to considering risk and POTENTIAL changes in risk from the commercial projects being proposed for the northern Puget Sound and southern British Columbia over the next decade or so….To put it simply, keeping everything else the same, when traffic increases risk increases, unless mitigated. Further, there is no guarantee that risk increases due to traffic increases can be fully mitigated.”

Meanwhile; “Trans Mountain(Kinder Morgan) submits that ….there are no impacts….that cannot be mitigated ”  !

http://www.burnabynow.com/news/kinder-morgan-s-final-argument-the-project-is-in-the-public-interest-1.2133616

Trans Mountain (KM) submits that by building on its existing system, paralleling the existing right-of-way and implementing well-known and proven mitigation, there are no environmental or social impacts that cannot be mitigated,” the report states..

…. to ‘MITIGATE’ is to “make milder’…or “less intense  or severe”…so upon rereading the above you can assume how much mitigation VTRA  can offer…or accept… and how much mediation is Kinder Morgan offering ???  Further ,KM claim that well known and proven mitigation lies at the center of the argument….We’ve seen lots of chatter about a hoped for ‘world class‘ bitumen containment and recovery ‘  . Maybe Kinder Morgan and our science loving Prime Minister could arrange for a public demonstration of this magical contraption….while a dilbit laden tanker is hung up on a reef, spewing oil profusely ,at night , during a  tide change…with a gale blowing….and then  and send everyone a measure of the MITIGATING EFFECTIVENESS …hopefully to quiet ‘the suspicious coastal residents in BC and Washington State’…OK ?

 

I have asked continually asked…why are our leaders are shying from the promised science…before deciding…even a Statistics 101 student could show the increased probability of a dilbit spill as the number and volume of dilbit sailings increase in these busy waters…Interestingly…our Federal government is now searching for Chief Science Officer….which should be put to work to demonstrate ,with an independent risk assessment of the BC coast(possibly in collaboration with US scientists)…that there is a safer tanker route ,than that proposed by Kinder Morgan…thus potentially removing any extra dilbit tankers from Salish Sea ….!

obvious …even our new Prime Minister  promised to ‘listen ad use science’ ,to help decide…yet we see little science …

Most of the BC  and nearby Washington State communities would prefer that these extra dilbit tanker sailing DID NOT NEED TO HAPPEN in our Salish Sea !

The Canadian government has recommended approval of this KM pipeline/tanker plan… ….subject to dealing with 157 conditions….somehow ,though likely NOT publically….???

One must assume that this project will be OK’d after review of the’conditions’….

 

Yes I’ve appealed many times for a common sense approach to building this vital diluted bitumen (dilbit)export plan…but with little response or acknowledgement…Most of our local   leaders are likewise concerned  .. ….Yes a call from your leaders…to our government leaders might be helpful…many of our community leaders are likewise most upset by this unwelcome increase in dilbit laden tankers travelling our busiest waters…Vancouver Mayor, Gregor Robertson  and Burnaby Mayor , Derek Corrigan  along with other local community leaders  might appreciate your input to assist in seeking   a less threatening tanker routing plan…Our Provincial Premier, Christy Clark might  listen…as she soon faces our provincial electorate…while she sits on the fence now, she might be a ‘good listener’ if somehow we can find a way to ‘correct’ this goofy Kinder Morgan proposal ?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LET’S SEE A BETTER PIPELINES DECISION..

Those who win the right to lead …must eventually  lead  .The easily made campaign ‘promises’ might become very awkward to fulfil…such as the ‘inherited’  complex pipeline issue.

 

I don’t recall seeing KM’ independent science that supported their  design.. An opportunity exists to ‘improve’ on that  KM , publically unacceptable decision…Let PM instruct the new Chief Science Officer  help Cabinet to ‘refine’ the dilbit export plan by determining (scientifically)where the ‘least risk’ marine routes exist…and I’m guessing this  plan would exclude the Salish Sea, Burrard Inlet, Douglas Channel and nearby Great Bear Rain Forest region ….and would include ONE pipeline from Alberta and a  loading terminal at or near Port Simpson …where Alberta could provide greater volumes of dilbit for export…

I see ,on line ,that John Horgan ,NDP Leader, is ‘against’ the KM proposal…and has shown some interest in science based plans….a winning combination ! Meanwhile our Premier ‘sits on the fence’ waiting for Kinder Morgan to offer her a cut of their profit….wait on Premier ,wait on !

LET CHIEF SCIENCE OFFICER DO THE SCIENCE…

Canada is searching  for a permanent Chief Science Officer ‘to make sure science finds its rightful place at the federal table.’…It’s not too late to let this Science Officer  determine where the ‘least risky’ tanker shipping routes exist along our entire BC coast  !

An oil tanker shipping ban  becomes moot when one considers the MANY,SOME  very large barge rigs, must FREQUENTLY travel in some of our most remote, with sometimes challenging sea conditions, as the only supply vehicles that can reach these outlying areas… …Bella Bella is the most recent reason to dwell on these real, known,  issues…

There still is time to build a BC based dilbit export terminal…NOT  in  BC southern busy waters …or the Douglas Channel…while allowing Alberta to ship whatever amount of dilbit  they wish to offer ,through ONE PIPELINE ,to a loading at a terminal …located  near   open Pacific waters…somewhere near Port Simpson… thus eliminating dilbit laden tankers from our multibillion dollar ,visitor generated businesses , largely in southern BC waters .

 

Let KM and Enbridge Northern Gateway dilbit export plans merge… a compromise solution… …for the relative benefit of all parties !

PLAN B…BEFORE IT’S TOO LATE …

http://www.vancouversun.com/contests/index.html?layer=true&returnurl=http%3a%2f%2fwww.vancouversun.com%2f

 

Thanks  Mike …There is a  Plan ‘B’ that makes even more sense and is less likely to agitate the willing to act, vote savvy environmentalists.. ……Yes, a publically acceptable plan that would bring Alberta oil to the west coast… …Find a ‘pipe-liner’ that will build a smarter , common sense ,combined  pipeline, system from Alberta to somewhere near  Port Simpson which  offers  OPEN OCEAN access to world markets ….This Plan B offers  no increased dilbit tankers(or that inevitable tanker spill if we stick with the riskier proposed marine routes) in  our busy, multibillion dollar revenue generating  ,environmentally related businesses……in Douglas Channel—or the  nearby Great Bear Rain Forest, Burrard Inlet, the tricky passes through the  Salish Sea gulf island and Vancouver Island and southern BC waters/beaches……

This ‘less risky’ option is still available…but our leaders must LEAD, tout suite !

 

MEDIATION TIME,,,

Where’s that inevitable dilbit spill likely to “happen”…what about on a reef ,in some island passage in the Gulf Islands…or worse  ???…at night,with a gale blowing, at tide change…!

Why consider allowing dilbit laden tankers to travel our busiest/trickiest   waters when we have the opporunity to direct these tankers to travel  only in   ‘scientifically determined’ ,less risky, more open routes…such as might be determined  by Transport Canada scientists…‘in the Canadian public interest’  !!

A quick look at a BC coast map suggests a pipeline terminal location north of Prince Rupert…NOT Douglas Channel, Burrard Inlet…or the  Salish Sea…

Yes, build just ONE pipeline system from Alberta…surely  doable, if our Prime Minister(having listened and applied the promised science ) would bring  the principles together   to ‘mediate’ the critical BC/Alberta  pipelines issue !

A couple of BC MP (Burnaby North Seymour and Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam) have ,bravely, brought the BC concern to the PM’s attention…while  other government MP’s sit obediently…

Also …when the first dilbit laden tanker leaves the KM loading terminal…on or about October 19,2019….can you imagine that the BC electorate will have forgotten !!!

 

A PLAN FOR BC PIPELINES..

 

BC pipelines land  and shipping routes were decided with little consultation with BC communities..

Yes there was   a ‘Harper-rigged’ ,pipe-liner friendly, NEB  hearing process .…The new Prime Minister  has already made up his mind…on several issues…without applying any of the promised science…and we dither on..

OK what to do…?  Arrange for the ‘bosses’ , Ian Anderson and Al Monaco ,to meet in the Calgary Petroleum club…A quick call from the Prime Minister could kick this off…consider this a first step in providing his offered ‘pipelines mediation’ service …to discuss  a new PLAN.

Build ONE smart pipeline from Alberta to an open-ocean shipping terminal near Port Simpson and let Alberta ship whatever amount of dilbit it can supply…but not through the busy southern (Gulf Islands) marine passes…or island bound Douglas Channel

Yes, we love our trees and kiss our salmon…we want  everyone to enjoy them…even the countless Albertans that own and enjoy much of our ‘still’ oil free beaches…and  the salmon fishing waters…

Love you all…please come, AGAIN …!

PIPELINE ACTION PLAN REQUIRED

When can   we expect our PM to follow up and show the public ,with the promised  ‘serious science’ , that that the Kinder Morgan pipeline scheme, as proposed… must be scrapped ….His scientists ,along with risk assessment experts ,  likely would   tell us to find a ‘less risky’  tanker route for the dilbit laden tankers…

More First Nations involvement  will help  greatly when dealing with incidents like the recent Bella Bella spill…Yes, let’s first deal with this vital, supply service for coastal communities…!

The  Aframax or larger vessels should be banned from our many narrow inlets, and passes….and restricted to open ocean locations …NOT Burrard Inlet, or the Salish  Sea , or Douglas Channel or the Great Bear rain forest region..

A WELCOME FIRST STEP

When can   we expect our PM to follow up and show the public ,with the promised  ‘serious science’ , that that the Kinder Morgan pipeline scheme, as proposed… must be scrapped ….His scientists ,along with risk assessment experts ,  likely would   tell us to find a ‘less risky’  tanker route for the dilbit laden tankers…

More First Nations involvement  will help  greatly when dealing with incidents like the recent Bella Bella spill…Yes, let’s first deal with this vital, supply service for coastal communities…!

The  Aframax or larger vessels should be banned from our many narrow inlets, and passes….and restricted to open ocean locations …NOT Burrard Inlet, or the Salish  Sea , or Douglas Channel or the Great Bear rain forest region..

PIPELINES ROUTE RISK ASSESSMENT REMAINS UNRESOLVED..

PM Harper , promised to produce a BC coast risk assessment .Where is this study ??Our new leader promised to ‘listen and use science’ … we’ve see little science …See two links ;https://www.seas.gwu.edu/~dorpjr/VTRA/PSP/FINAL%20REPORT/PSP%20FINAL%20REPORT%20-%20DRAFT%20012214%20-%20HQ.pdf

Risk assessment professors say …Page 157   CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS A detailed consideration of traffic levels is particularly important as one moves forward to considering risk and POTENTIAL changes in risk from the commercial projects being proposed for the northern Puget Sound and southern British Columbia ….

To put it simply, keeping everything else the same, when traffic increases risk increases, unless mitigated. Further, there is no guarantee that risk increases due to traffic increases can be fully mitigated.

http://www.burnabynow.com/news/kinder-morgan-s-final-argument-the-project-is-in-the-public-interest-1.2133616

Kinder Morgan(Trans Mountain)  bean counters say this…

“Trans Mountain submits that by building on its existing system, paralleling the existing right-of-way and implementing well-known and proven mitigation, there are no environmental or social impacts that cannot be mitigated,” the report states..

Let our scientists locate the least risky marine routes….and act accordingly Mr. PM…

 

 

 

 

 

BUILD ONE SMART PIPELINE..

Our PM  has elevated the status of his scientists…but ,thus far, he fails to let them  counsel his government when  making vital, scientifically supported ,decisions about tanker shipments on the BC coast ?? Some of PM Trudeau’s earl decisions

could be ‘better formulated’ with the counsel of his scientists and senior advisors…First ,re-think the tanker ban on the  BC north coast… What is the marine industry and ‘Uncle  Sam’  likely to wonder …. First, let your scientists  produce a study of marine risks on the BC coast …AND then decide where BEST (at least risk)to permit dilbit tankers……before it’s too late !

There is a simple ,doable ,idea to get Alberta bitumen to market—with relatively minimum risk,…Build ONE PIPELINE from Alberta to Port Simpson…and let them transfer whatever volume of dilbit that Alberta can supply…and forget about the extra tanker sailings in out busy, environmentally sensitive, multi-billion dollar revenue generating waters…such as the busy Salish Sea …. the Douglas Channel …AND the Great Bear rainforest areas !!