About fickser

A retired professional engineer--Chem Eng grad UBC 1957--currently offering comment about BC bitumen pipeline/tanker issues...

“…RESTORE LEGITIMACY TO THE PIPELINE APPROVAL PROCESS “

https://www.pressreader.com/canada/national-post-latest-edition/20170808/281487866442436/textview

John Ivison’ says  ,”Canadian Energy Projects On The Line” ,while  our PM decides …by whimsy. While electioneering, Justin told the media that he ‘PREFERRED’ THE TRANS MOUNTAIN EXPANSION PIPELINE(TMEP) …decided by whimsy ? …… More recently the   Science Minister says…“We need to be basing our decisions… on SCIENCE ,but we’ve seen NO independent science offered for debate??

Earlier  our PM’ decided   to ban oil ‘tanker’ shipping in northern BC …another whim !. More  whimsy when the PM approved  the goofy Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline(TMEP) ,without seeing any independent supporting science , while   totally disregarding threatened southern BC marine species!

Uncertainty reigns  ! …   Saskatchewan Premier asks …  this new environmental review policy …looks like another National Energy Policy……!

We expect our courts to be involved with community and First Nations issues…and hopefully they will  take into consideration our  Senate Pipeline Study    …..AND  direct the PM  to “…restore legitimacy to the pipeline approval process.”

See  http://www.parl.gc.ca/content/sen/committee/421/TRCM/Reports/FINALVERSION-PipelineStudy-2016-12-07_e.pdf

 

 

 

DILEMMA ?

Recently Diane Francis scolded BC folks for not blindly agreeing with the  Government approved , ill-conceived ,Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline (TMEP).

Recall that PM promised to ‘listen’ and ‘use science’ when deciding…! He’s done neither . .

Yes, PM Trudeau is on the horns of a dilemma…Canada requires those export revenues desperately…but the PM can  risk losing  a few seats in BC…. and HOPEFULLY gain  seats in Alberta….because of TMEP.

 

The law says that the Federal government is supreme  when  APPROVING   interprovincial and international pipelines……unless the reaction in BC becomes too raucous…and it might ??

There’s still time for our leader to LEAD us out of this TMEP  mess …and have  everyone win…?

 

 

 

 

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

 

 

WAR OR PEACE ?

 

Further to Vancouver Sun ,Derrick Penner story  ,July 27  …’Province seeks ways to fight Kinder Morgan’s pipeline plan”

 

Yes the PM is on the horns of a dilemma …he appears to agree with the Paris Climate accord…but he recognizes the need for hydrocarbon export revenues for many reasons…

  1. To keep Alberta happy…a greater concern to him  than keeping BC happy !
  2. To maintain  export revenues for his ambitious infrastructure, etc.,  plans…
  3. Because he has ‘the power’ to declare this project in the National Interest…even with a sloppy NEB review that maddened many BC voters..
  4. He feels that he can ride out this pipeline storm politically…but already 2 governments have ‘gone down’(Harper’s and Christy’s) because of BC public dislike of the Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline (TMEP)…and governments worry most about the NEXT ELECTION…campaigning will commence in 2 years…risky ,eh ?
  5. BC might be able to rebel significantly and make his government offer a new better option to all the concerned groups…environmentalists, pipeliners, tanker operators, Alberta gov’t ,BC communities and public, and First Nations…
  6. The PM had decided even before the election that he PREFERRED THE TMEP….and as we know the boss’ preferences likely  receive favourable response in Cabinet meetings… BC voters sent Christy to the back bench…these SAME  VOTERS  now have a chance to do the same to a sitting PM….what fun !

 

 

The Province’s attempt to kill the TMEP might sound sincere…can they somehow convince the courts and governments to reconsider this goofy TMEP…and agree to a more sensible, community acceptable export plan…doubtful maybe…but we have yet to see how raucous the BC reaction will be…another ‘war in the woods’ scenario might cause all parties to find a  more acceptable pipeline/tanker plan…?

there are ways…ask around .

 

 

 

THE ALBERTA DECISION..

 

The  Federal Government   disregarded the southern BC communities strong objection to the Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline(TMEP)

1.because location of the proposed tanker routes ….and

2.and they did NOT   “… base… decisions and policies on facts…..and on SCIENCE…”as recently stated by or Minister of Science, ! !

The export of diluted bitumen contributes significantly  to Canada’s resources revenue as do southern BC waters ,which  generate billons annually from the ‘visitor’ industry…Some of our marine ‘critters, are  threatened by noise and potential of spills.!. There was no  ,INDEPENDENT SCIENCE offered to debate the tanker routing… The southern BC public has been most agitated by this omission…and as a result has contributed significantly the ‘departure ‘ of 2 governments recently. The public has warned of their desire to fight this ill-conceived TMEP….a repeat of the lawless ‘war of the woods’ ,  “one of the largest acts of civil disobedience in Canadian history..” …..”which prompted lasting change”…,is suggested by some. There’s no need for a war…just apply some rigorous independent science to find tanker routes that minimize the probability of a tanker spill …before it’s too late !

While Alberta Premier may ‘care not’ of the BC concerns about the tanker routing……the Federal government may yet pay a significant price for that sloppy ‘Alberta’  decision….. come Oct 2019 ?

 

A PRACTICABLE PLAN EXISTS

Recently, our Science Minister explained that “We need to be basing our decisions and policies…. on SCIENCE” ,supporting statements made earlier by our PM. !
The NEB ‘bought’ the Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline risk assessment data . In the public interest, the NEB should asked for an independent risk assessment which identified less risky tanker routing .!
BC Premier Designate will make Premier Notley ,PM Trudeau, and BC community leaders smile as they see a common sense , plan evolve where dilbit laden tankers are no longer travelling our environmentally sensitive, multi-billion dollar visitor industry, job creating waters ! Some suggest that a Port Simpson shipping terminal location would create a more acceptable dilbit export plan.
The public recognizes that pipelines and tankers will be necessary for some time yet…or does the new government have some other practicable plan ?

CREATE A WIN-WIN PIPELINE SOLUTION..

Approval of  diluted bitumen (dilbit) export plan  backfired on PM Harper and Premier Christy Clark…As proposed ,dilbit laden tankers must travel  BC environmentally sensitive waters and related, lucrative, multibillion dollar ‘visitor’ related job creating industries ..

Recently, our Science  Minister explained that  “We need to be basing our decisions and policies on facts…..and on SCIENCE !

Recall Mr. PM that YOU  once promised to use science when deciding…has your Minister misspoken ?

Meanwhile the NEB accepted carte blanc the Kinder Morgan ‘ risk assessment data…and ,in the public interest, the NEB  were never shown an independent risk assessment !

OK Premier Designate…here’s your chance to create win-win project …and make  Premier Notley.PM Trudeau, and BC community leaders all smile as they see a common sense ,publically acceptable dilbit export plan evolves,as dilbit laden tankers are removed from BC busy, environmentally sensitive waters…

The public recognizes that a sensible ,minimum risk designed pipeline and tanker routing plan will be necessary for some time yet…or do you have some relatively short term alternative plan for fulfilling  BC’ industry and public immediate energy needs…Maybe  ask Mr. Weaver to explain …?

 

 

DON’T MESS WITH BC VOTERS….

Did  the Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline (TMEP)project cause the BC Liberals to pay the ultimate political price  ? The Liberals chose NOT TO LISTEN and lost key southern BC ridings…Now Premier elect Horgan gives fuzzy signals about TMEP…or will he and Weaver ‘figure it out ‘,and pave the way for the next election ,by supporting this economically vital export plan. Harper’s gone(remember him).Must we wait until Oct 2019 for the next ‘victim ‘ …or will PM Trudeau alter  his maddening decision to approve the ill-conceived TMEP ?!

The issue of  concern always has been about that inevitable diluted bitumen (dilbit) spill as tanker traffic is increased 7 fold   …thus  greatly increasing probability of significant adverse impact on our multibillion dollar visitor ,environmentally related,job creating, ‘visitor’ industries !

 

An  opportunity still exists to earn those vital export revenues ….for all  Canadians …simply by locating the dilbit shipping terminal where departing tankers would have open  access to the Pacific.

Simple as that !

THE BC PUBLIC WILL DECIDE…

The BC public helped ‘take down’ two governments as they showed their dislike  of the goofy Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline project (TMEP). Government conveniently ‘forgot’ about their claim to use science  as they clumsily APPROVED our Prime Minister’s ‘PREFERRED’  pipeline…. An independent ,expert scientific risk assessment report would have offered the NEB an opportunity ,in the public interest, to determine which dilbit export marine terminal location   offered  best ‘protection’, for the environment .

The government science ‘farce’ continues…  Our Science  Minister explained that  “We need to be basing our decisions and policies on facts…..and on SCIENCE !…”as she announced Government’s intention to appoint a Chief Science Advisor ?

A recent  Senate ‘Pipeline Study’…  made …recommendations on “how the government can restore legitimacy to the pipeline approval process”… which we  assume will be ignored…!

 

Let the INDEPENDENT  science (risk assessment) happen…and determine which marine port location offers the least probability of a tanker marine spill…and then approve this science based process.

 

BC PUBLIC WILL DECIDE….

 

 

 

Have the governments not noticed…how an  angry BC public ,utilized  the ultimate hearing process ,the  ballot box…and  contributed to ‘taking down’ 2 governments….and now wait for Oct 2019…

 

 

Stephen  Harper Federal   government goes down !

 

The  Trudeau cohort ,Christy Clark, ‘liked’ the ill-conceived  Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline (TMEP)  …. Public  concern remains  about the inevitable diluted bitumen (dilbit) leak from the greatly increased number of tankers in our busy waters..  Trudeau Government  approved ,the goofy TMEP …with no independent ,science based risk assessment .

Christy Clark BC Provincial government  goes  down !

 

Revenue generating , pipelines are vital for Canada’s economy…A solution stares us in the face ,that reduces probability a tanker sourced dilbit leak from  a tanker . Build one smarter pipeline ,from Alberta to BC coast terminal, that offers tankers direct access to the open Pacific…

 

 

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

THE BC PUBLIC WILL DECIDE…

Have the governments not noticed…how an  angry BC public ,utilized  the ultimate hearing process ,the  ballot box…and  contributed to ‘taking down’ 2 governments….and now wait for Oct 2019

Stephen  Harper Federal   government goes down !

The  Trudeau cohort ,Christy Clark, ‘liked’ the ill-conceived  Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline (TMEP)  …. Public  concern remains  about the inevitable diluted bitumen (dilbit) leak from the greatly increased number of tankers in our busy waters..  Trudeau Government  approved ,the goofy TMEP …with no independent ,science based risk assessment .

Christy Clark BC Provincial government  goes  down !

Revenue generating , pipelines are vital for Canada’s economy…A solution stares us in the face ,that reduces probability a tanker sourced dilbit leak from  a tanker . Build one smarter pipeline ,from Alberta to BC coast terminal, that offers tankers direct access to the open Pacific…