About fickser

A retired professional engineer--Chem Eng grad UBC 1957--currently offering comment about BC bitumen pipeline/tanker issues...

TMX LUDDISM PREVAILS

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)  suggests   that civilization is doomed because of continued production of carbon dioxide when using  fossil fuels….

Why has Canada  not joined in the massive ITER( https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17950-iter-how-it-works/ )

effort to ‘learn’ …and possibly find a way to make a better primary energy source ? The Government  proposed carbon tax plan is  politically safer for  to implement, but ,in the opinion of many ,is not likely to encourage enough  people to adequately  reduce their individual carbon  footprint…

This appears to be a pattern for your government since you avoided calling on  science supported expertise to prepare an independent risk assessment when deciding to approve the Trans Mountain Pipeline Expansion(TMX) !

Imagine Government  ordering that all carbon dioxide producing devices be replaced with non-carbon dioxide producing  equipment …based on

a jointly researched industry/government ,approved plan. Something like ordering 28 ESTABLISHED industries to  build war machinery, as was done when WW2 started…

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

 

BC PUBLIC ‘SKREWED’ AT THE PUMPS —WHILE AL;BERTA PREMIER WHINES.

: BC public ‘skrewed’ at the gas pumps…while Alberta whines !

 

 

Let the BC Government lead by finding a suitable location for a new refinery  … We did have 4 refineries in BC ,now just one ? How was this allowed to happen…meanwhile the Washington refineries EXPAND ,as Alberta sells them crude oil and BC public  are “skrewed’’ at the gas pumps.

Not long ago ,the Appeals Court rejected the TMX project, the First Nations still do not agree, as do many Vancouver voters …leaving  a new  minority Federal Government to struggle while trying to keep this always goofy, flawed  TMX plan alive.

Apparently,  local pundit(Paul Sullivan) has been ‘sweet talked’ into accepting the idea of  TMX(North Shore News,Dec. 6,2019)Yes , Mr. Sullivan ,TMX appears to make sense ….when the facts are ignored ;

Fact 1. Major infrastructure projects(like TMX at several $billion)typically are subjected to an independent risk assessment to protect interests of the investor and the environment. We Canadians ,the uninitiated  investors ,now owners of the multibillion dollar TMX ,where completely ignored when this independent risk assessment  was bypassed by Government .A timely independent risk assessment might have killed the TMX before any time wasting hearings process !

Fact 2. BC communities do not agree that  a 7 fold increase of bitumen tankers should be permitted  in our busy ,environmentally sensitive Salish Sea waters….

http://www.nsnews.com/news/tsleil-waututh-decry-new-review-rules-on-pipeline-projects-1.23170089

Fortuitously we are offered the (potential)opportunity to solve the BC/Alberta pipelines mess…see North Shore News item below…when our now Environment Minister ,  parliamentary secretary  to then Minister  Catherine McKenna….

“North Vancouver ,MP Jonathan Wilkinson…… held a press conference in Victoria ….. to unveil federal changes… the   new ….assessment process … will be more inclusive …. “All of the science will be publicly available,” and  will … no longer depend entirely on scientific data supplied by project proponents(TMX).. Ottawa will pay to bring in external scientific experts ….”   This Bill C69 language makes sense…surely it’s time to listen and correct this bad TMX decision ?

 

FACT 3… RISK IS THE ISSUE ,SHOW US THE SCIENCE PLEASE;

http://www.burnabynow.com/news/kinder-morgan-s-final-argument-the-project-is-in-the-public-interest-1.2133616     ( December 15, 2015)

“Trans Mountain(Kinder Morgan) submits that ….there are no impacts….that cannot be mitigated ”  !

 

Meanwhile there is an independent  ,EPA funded report…that states the exact OPPOSITE… this

study (see link below)CONCLUDED    “…simply…there is no guarantee that RISK increases ….. can be fully mitigated.”  First issued 2010   and updated 2014

http://www.seas.gwu.edu/~dorpjr/VTRA/PSP/FINAL%20REPORT/PSP%20FINAL%20REPORT%20-%20%20DRAFT%20021914%20-%20EXECUTIVE%20SUMMARY.pdf  

Surely our governments could have seen the opportunity to collaborate with the US study group to include vital BC shipping data and put environmental data in their hands to offer a worried BC public…that a (similar)scientific review will be offered to ensure that the TMX plan, makes good sense, ??as proposed !?  Neither the Feds or BC governments cared ?

Remember (‘Steve’) ,Harper government (JULY 2015)announced   ‘proposed BC ‘Think Tank’ ‘… to STUDY the ‘RISKS OF MARINE SHIPPING’   …where is this RISK STUDY Mr. Prime Minister ?

Our snowboarder PM might explain why HE decided that the KM proposal was OK….we taxpayers pay mightily to maintain stables of Professional  Engineers ,research scientists etc. to provide counsel to Government…was our Government negligent to have bypassed this step…is impeachment in order ?

Yes, a pipeline and ocean tanker scheme may be in the public interest…but not this ill-conceived TMX proposal…that may unnecessarily threaten a key  BC multi-billion dollar environmentally based tourist  industry….

Don’t send  bitumen laden tankers through our busy ,shared, Salish Sea  .. …Let our  , esteemed, scientists show our leaders and the BC public a  less risky route plan…then decide.

 

Carl Shalansky , P. Eng.(retired)
3359 Redfern Place
North Vancouver, B.C, V7N 3W2

604 9864657

https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

 

 

THE END OF TMX

  • Alberta Premier Jason Kenney…..’gallops’ off to the UK today …where he …. will “underscore the province’s reputation as one of the world’s most stable, secure and environmentally responsible energy suppliers.” Don’t forget to cozy up to the Ukrainian President and “offer a stable and secure supply”…for their idle refineries . While the world watches as Russia build pipelines, willy nilly across Asia and Europe, as though was no need to be concerned about the pending Climate created ‘end of civilization’ .O yah, there is a need to build a pipeline to tide water which could happen soon if Premier Kenny arranged for ‘gas pump’ prices were to suddenly become more reasonable…what say Jason ? Forget about TMX, as the court will have no option but to ,again, kill that goofy plan….and direct the parties to find a new less risky pipeline and tanker routes to a new terminal near Port Simpson, BC.

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)
Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/
(604) 986-4657

WW3,THE ENEMY IS US !

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), with much ‘help’ from   government leaders ,past and present,  and many celebrities ,  convinced most, that the end of  civilization is nigh… . The IPCC ,and those supporting scientists, who so effectively convinced UN leadership, that CO2 is the  ’enemy’, might now work ‘as hard’ to convince their own local government  leaders to curtail  CO2 production, while  we  observe  gradual reversal of the effects of that excess CO2.

Some promising ideas are in various stages of development..

1.France produces more than 70 % of it electricity from nuclear fueled power plants.  Should more follow the same path ,as an interim step ??

2.The Small Modular Reactor (SMR) where Canada and other countries see much potential  to reduce the carbon footprint..

3.The ultimate fix could be the ITER project. Canada not a member ? .  ITER’s mission is to demonstrate the feasibility of fusion power…much ‘ITER’ info online …

4.Many ‘solutions’ yet to be fully evaluated….tidal power, wind, solar ,geothermal ,hydrogen fuel, carbon capture, retrofitting…. etc.

 

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

 

 

 

WW2 ACTION REQUIRED !

Environmentalist and author Bill McKibben https://www.nationalobserver.com/2019/04/03/features/bill-mckibben-likens-climate-change-second-world-war

…. likens the(climate change) struggle ….. to the Second World War.

Fortunately Dr. Albert  Einstein did see the potential for world conflagration and knew about the advanced knowledge of the Nazi German scientists about the atomic bomb..Thanks to Dr. Einstein, history tells us President Roosevelt put  together a team (the Manhattan Project) and built this bomb, before  Hitler.

 

Happily much is being done ,to build a device to counter the carbon dilemma .Search ‘ITER’ for details.. Canada was involved initially but withdrew as costs escalated .

 

!. Canada has long been associated with nuclear power and currently has much potential to further develop its SMALL MODULR REACTORS (SMR) to supply energy in remote locatons,on ships etc https://smrroadmap.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/BRIEF-SMR-Roadmap-Brochure-EN-2018-11-05-1.pdf

“They could supply power to homes, offices and businesses, heat for industrial processes, heat to buildings, and energy to produce clean fuels such as battery charging or hydrogen for transport.”

SMRs are real and happening now etc. ,but  we dither ?

To move forward, key players must act in concert. A  Manhattan approach required !

2.Carbon tax is where we’re at…but …we are rapidly going backward???

3.Canada needs to set some specific goals and measure the results… many other  issues mentioned…solar,batteries,tidal,wind etc..

 

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

 

Trans Mountain Expansion(TMX) pipeline…demise…

https://www.burnabynow.com/news/burnaby-presents-case-to-exert-control-over-trans-mountain-oil-shipments-1.23768828   ( Feb 2018)

North Vancouver Liberal MP Jonathan Wilkinson,  ,  said in February,  at a press conference ….. that  the new environmental assessment process for major projects will be more inclusive and transparent ….. “All of the science will be publicly available”.

Recall when  our Science  Minister explained that  “We need to be basing our decisions ……on facts…..and …. SCIENCE “!

 

Government civil service has the expertise to provide counsel .…they could have saved everyone  a lot of discomfort had Government  trusted them for their counsel about TMX. Note, that Government  Professional Engineers are bound by a code of ethics …and ” hold paramount the safety …of the public…and environment “ …

Recall your lecture, Mr. PM that” only communities can give permission”. We wanted to believe you then but we’d been fooled before…like the one about “basing decisions …on science”…??

 

Thankfully the Federal Court of Appeal corrected a Government ‘flawed approval decision’ .It’s now time to apply the science that leads us to a least-risk tanker/pipeline transport plan… and earn those superior Canadian   benefits.

 

OODLES OF OIL FOR EXPORT ,PLEASE !

Thank goodness for our separation of powers government format. The courts were required to recognize the ‘flawed’ government approval of TMX

 

So what’s the ISSUE….when  more tankers are permitted into the system, the likelihood of a tanker spill increases !

 

The Government  Professional Engineers….are bound by a code of ethics …and ” hold paramount the safety …of the public…and environment

Recently, our Science  Minister explained that  “We need to be basing our decisions ……on facts…..and …. SCIENCE “!Was Government TMX decision “based on science”?

 

According to National Observer report …”British Columbia is not trying to stop the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, but it is attempting to PREVENT environmental damage and hold the corporation responsible for the cleanup of a spill, a lawyer argued Monday.” . Since day one ,communities that would potentially be impacted by a BITUMEN SPILL ,in southern BC  screamed ‘NO WAY’ !

 

it’s worth noting that no one can PREVENT  spills…, but the goal should be to make best effort to minimize the probability of a spill !

 

Society must accept new  infrastructure realizing that incidents will happen…. aircraft fall from the sky…but we still fly. Not long ago  a  double hulled oil tanker was lost (sank)in the South China Sea taking  32 lives lost…this weekend a freighter was damaged/lost off the coast of France . This Sunday ,2 ships bumped together in Vancouver Harbour…with little damage resulting .Stuff happens !

 

“Trans Mountain(Kinder Morgan) submits that ….there are no impacts….that cannot be mitigated ”  !

http://www.burnabynow.com/news/kinder-morgan-s-final-argument-the-project-is-in-the-public-interest-1.2133616

 

 

This  independent  ,U.S. EPA  study CONCLUDED    “…simply…there is no guarantee that RISK increases ….. can be fully mitigated.”

http://www.seas.gwu.edu/~dorpjr/VTRA/PSP/FINAL%20REPORT/PSP%20FINAL%20REPORT%20-%20%20DRAFT%20021914%20-%20EXECUTIVE%20SUMMARY.pdf    (page 157)

 

 

 

BC Premier says “we’re going to put in place a scientific panel to look at the potential consequences of a catastrophic (bitumen) spill….

 

 

We need a publically debated ,least risk, new  route  plan .

Yes, build one pipeline to a BC shipping terminal location that allows larger dilbit   laden tankers immediate access to the Pacific , to carry oodles more dilbit to market !

As everyone continues to dither we face the oil/pipeline industry product  price gouging… …who will offer us better plan   …food for thought politicians, come October   ?

 

THERE ARE NO RULES..

 

Justin Trudeau   appears to have ‘lost it’ ! . Former Minister  ,Judy Wilson-Raybould,   has shown him the way. Should  the  most powerful person in Government,   Julie Payette, Governor General of Canada, be expected  make this dysfunctional Government right again ? Let’s invite  her to respond ?

 

 

As Canada’s ‘de facto’ leader  make this dysfunctional Government right again…just another challenging ‘mission’ ! The Government  appears to have lost sight of the principle of the Separation of Powers. It  appears that our PM and his helpers would prefer an arena where ‘there are  no rules’, but their own!

 

This government  ‘imbroglio’ is  receiving much speculative media coverage. No doubt you are  aware  of ‘the government situation’ !  The public are correct  in wanting to know the facts. As Head of State, we call on you, Madam Governor General, to order the Prime Minister ,firstly  , because of the disrespect shown  Minister Jody Wilson-Raybould, to apologize to her publicly…and if necessary he should to step down and call for an election.

Madam Governor General ,we ask you to right the ship of state and that ultimately you will find a way to let the electorate make the final decision.

HAPPY WHALES

…as posted in Seattle Times(Letters) today…further to their article today… If Trans Mountain pipeline approved, reroute ship traffic

 

 

A solution is to build   a new pipeline from Alberta to a site on the BC north coast that could handle larger tankers while giving   direct access to the Pacific. The Trans Mountain Expansion(TMX) pipeline , as proposed, has been fumbled for too many years by our ‘pipe dreamer’  Prime Minister and an inept National Energy  Board .Even our Federal Appeal court ruled the government’ first  approval was  flawed and sent the project back to Energy Board  to be reworked while ordering  special  consideration to the impact of the added tankers and the  ineffective communication with First Nations .The second review   is in government hands for  approval. This Court ordered rehash   is deficient in many areas and likely will end back in the Courts which suggests that a new, more publicly acceptable export plan be developed now!

The new larger capacity facility would allow Alberta to ship more bitumen and governments to recover ‘lost’ export revenues ….and many happier BC and Washington State communities….and whales.

 

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

BUILD A REFINERY AND INCREASE EXPORTS

Alberta Premier   not afraid to go it alone…and wants to build a refinery in Alberta !…Alberta will  use its  powers to respond decisively and to the punish Ottawa’s ineptness in dealing with pipelines/export issues  !

Yes ,why not extend the goal and team up with BC and jointly call for bids(by Enbridge and/or Trans Canada Pipelines)  to build a new bigger  pipeline from Alberta to Port Simpson thus allowing larger tankers to carry more oil to market and no longer threaten BC southern communities with that goofy Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) pipeline scheme resulting in  happier/healthier  whales and at the same time reducing potential for tanker spills in BC busy multibillion dollar visitor business areas in southern BC,

Let the winner operate/purchase  existing  Tran Mountain system  to ensure that products are in sufficient supply without the current price gouging we experience in BC . Subject to review such a plan could meet requirements of recent Federal Court of Appeal order to fix he ill-conceived TMX ?.

Proponents of such a plan should be happier given  pending elections !