MINIMUM RISK OPTIONS ONLY…PLEASE

Any wannabe dilbit exporter must show the  BC public or any would-be investor an ‘unvarnished’ ,independent expert scientific risk assessment of the proposed tanker marine routes throughout  the BC coast ….!

 

Our new Government leader once told  us about the importance of ‘science’ ….and ‘listening’ ! Now ,from Rome, we heard him say “the…decision we took on the Trans Mountain pipeline was based on facts and evidence ….! Our Minister of Science says “We need to be basing our decisions and policies, on facts, on evidence…. AND  on SCIENCE !…

A  recent Senate   report (now buried ?)….  recommended on “how the government can restore ‘legitimacy’ to the pipeline approval process.”

 

Surely our advisors and scientists ,if so instructed, would confirm where there is a less risky marine route available that would permit Alberta to send more dilbit for export …!

Instruct our  NEB or Chief Science Advisor to do an independent risk assessment ,and  confirm that there is a relatively  ,SAFER, marine route  available, that would permit Alberta to ,ship dilbit, to the BC coast terminal ?

Build ONE PIPELINE  from Alberta to a dilbit loading terminal that gives  dilbit laden tankers   less risky ,wide open access to the Pacific…

 

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

 

(604) 986-4657

 

 

DITHER NO LONGER….BUILD NOW,,,

 

Yes ,the Federal Government has the ‘power’ approve the TMEP…in the National Interest…so long as they remain in power, and the public do not become too unruly   …and the project remains profitable…

 

  1. Will the ‘newly concocted’ BC government be able to de-rail this ill-conceived ,much disliked export scheme…?
  2. Southern BC communities have already expressed ‘their concern’ about that inevitable tanker related diluted bitumen (dilbit) spill …in our coastal waters…as noted with recent BC election result…
  3. The courts have yet to be heard from…

 

  1. Lots of Alberta oil headed to  the US…but so far we do not know what ‘chunk of the profits’ President Trump will demand…potentially further shrinking the revenues for  the Alberta government , oil producers, and Kinder Morgan  !

 

  1. Yes Canadian want to see the VITAL revenues earned with our resource exports… …so let’s build a smarter pipeline that generates vital revenues…while minimizing the potential for dilbit spills in our busy waters…
  2. Build one ‘smarter ‘ pipeline system from Alberta to a location on the BC coast that offers ‘larger’ tankers  direct access to the open Pacific .. then eliminating any added tankers in our busy  VANCOUVER Harbour , the  International Salish sea…or the island bound Douglas Channel…

 

 

DITHER NO LONGER,BUILD NOW !

 

Yes ,the Federal Government has the ‘power’ approve the TMEP…in the National Interest…so long as they remain in power, and the public do not become too unruly   …and the project remains profitable…

 

  1. Will the ‘newly concocted’ BC government be able to de-rail this ill-conceived ,much disliked export scheme…?
  2. Southern BC communities have already expressed ‘their concern’ about that inevitable tanker related diluted bitumen (dilbit) spill …in our coastal waters…as noted with recent BC election result…
  3. The courts have yet to be heard from…

 

  1. Lots of Alberta oil headed to  the US…but so far we do not know what ‘chunk of the profits’ President Trump will demand…potentially further shrinking the revenues for  the Alberta government , oil producers, and Kinder Morgan  !

 

  1. Yes Canadian want to see the VITAL revenues earned with our resource exports… …so let’s build a smarter pipeline that generates vital revenues…while minimizing the potential for dilbit spills in our busy waters…
  2. Build one ‘smarter ‘ pipeline system from Alberta to a location on the BC coast that offers ‘larger’ tankers  direct access to the open Pacific .. then eliminating any added tankers in our busy  VANCOUVER Harbour , the  International Salish sea…or the island bound Douglas Channel…

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

 

Everyone in BC ‘out of step’…so what else is new !

A media report tell us that our ‘Eastern lad ‘ …says the province’s NDP and Greens, who oppose the Trans Mountain Extension Project(TMEP) project, are “wrong” in their position. Reminds me of the WW 2  story where a mother claims that all the  marching soldiers were out of step…except for MY son…. !

… Let’s put aside all the rhetoric and deal with the  entire dilbit export project, and all of its ramifications …openly . Recently our   Minister of science told us.. …. “We need to be basing our decisions and policies on facts, on evidence and on SCIENCE …” …remains as our Government position…I assume ??

So what to do…let those thousands  of government scientists prepare a risk assessment  that identifies the marine routes that offer the least likelihood of a tanker spill incident on the entire BC coast…….

Yes, build ONE PIPELINE  that terminates at a location that gives open-ocean access for tankers to enter the Pacific… …and thus removing additional dilbit laden tankers from active , island-bound, waters such as Douglas Channel, Burrard Inlet…or the international Salish Sea waters…..our Washington State neighbours watch nervously….

 

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

 

 

 

 

DILEMMA SOLVED…

The PM told us that science would help government to decide…and communities must agree (give permission) for pipe-liner  plans ??

Our  government then decides  the exact opposite …no expert, independent, science…and no community ‘permission’ ?

 

Mr. PM , please fly the BC coast and let some of your stable of scientists show you the least risky tanker marine routing…to export Alberta bitumen…Recall your Minister’s (Kirsty Duncan) comment when announcing the plan to appoint a Chief Science Advisor…”This… is a historic moment… because science …is also the foundation of sound decision making within government.”… Our  PM could  act accordingly…or must we await the courts and the public’ response …??

Build one smarter pipeline to a port location near Port Simpson and send larger tankers to the open Pacific…thereby  lessening the probability of a dilbit spill from loaded tanker…in our busy harbour and island laden Salish Sea …

….before it’s too late !

Is TMEP risky…governments do not care ?

Recall that PM Trudeau said he’d ‘do the science’ before deciding…… however we’ve seen  no attempt to include  independent risk assessment science that supported the Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline (TMEP)..?

The public remains concerned about the increased risk potential  from the 7 fold increase of dilbit laden tankers in Burrard Inlet and the island-bound international Salish Sea…

 

“TMEP submits that …..there are no environmental or social impacts that cannot be mitigated,”   …..while our Washington State neighbours risk study concluded…..” there is no guarantee that risk increases due to traffic increases can be fully mitigated”(our NEB did not review this Washington report ??)

 

The BC public deserved to be told where the less risky routes were located…our government instead went with the TMEP risk study, unchallenged  !

Canada requires the revenue generated from raw material export…desperately ! So ,do export…!

Build  a ‘community acceptable’ plan ,as PM Trudeau  rightly counselled !…

Why not just one pipeline ,that terminates at a location that allows larger tankers direct access to the Pacific ,say near Port Simpson..…and does not require dilbit laden tankers to travel our busy, environmentally sensitive waters  … !

DO THE SCIENCE—THEN DECIDE …

http://www.nsnews.com/news/traffic-kinder-morgan-pipeline-are-key-issues-in-north-vancouver-seymour-1.17311783

 

Liberal (BC) incumbent Jane Thornthwaite  … tells North Shore News (April 27,2017)…. feels satisfied the risk of Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline (TMEP)… is ‘low’….and  benefits … ‘worthwhile’ …Ask southern BC community leaders !   Christy Clark’ government  was given a billion dollars ,the BC ‘fair shair ‘ , by Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline … to deal when environmental issues ,etc…possibly ,to handle dilbit spill with the yet unproven dilbit containment and recovery contraption !. …!!

 

 

The proposed  7 fold increase of dilbit laden tankers in our busy  waters ,borders on the insane…! Let   Prime Minister  use the promised independent science …and assign tankers to scientifically proven , lower risk waters…!

Yes, build one smart pipeline from Alberta to a tanker loading terminal where  larger  tankers can enter the open Pacific through lower risk waters..…likely near Port Simpson ?

The southern BC waters are already burdened with many tankers…serving BC and Washington State customers…The suggestion that these newly proposed dilbit laden tankers should be assigned to sail in these already busy  waters…let our northern BC cousins share some of the ‘tanker pain’…seems fair !

 

Carl Shalansky, P. Eng. (Retired)

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/

(604) 986-4657

TANKER LOADING LOCATION…REMAINS AS THE KEY ISSUE..

Vancouver has  taken a stand against the Trans Mountain Expansion Project (TMEP) and made a submission to TMEP Ministerial Panel..…

The National Energy Board (NEB)  refuses to allow cross examination i !…. How is this in the public interest ??

The TMEP dilbit export plan  will increase 7 fold the number of dilbit laden tankers sailing our busy southern BC waters… … Trans Mountain, (Kinder Morgan) submits that ….there are no impacts….that cannot be mitigated ”  !  Meanwhile a US EPA funded risk assessment (for Salish Sea ,etc.) ‘Concludes  …  there is no guarantee that risk increases due to traffic increases can be fully mitigated.”

Canada has a stable of scientists…why not have them ,possibly in cohort with some international risk assessment experts, search for a less risky tanker routing plan…?. Mister Prime Minister …we expect our government to do the ‘due diligence ‘ and find the least risky tanker routes on our coast that would reduce the probability of a dilbit spill on coast…in the public interest ?

Tanker loading ocean terminal location remains as the key issue !

 

DILBIT EXPORT RISKS(DRAFT)

 

Our National Energy Board did not satisfactorily address  to the public concern about the associated increased risk potential for a 7 fold increase of dilbit laden tankers in our busy, waters .Our PM told us  “We need to be basing our decisions and policies on facts, on evidence and on SCIENCE !…but no independent scientific risk assessment  study exists !! Meanwhile our ‘uninformed’ ,Government approved the TMEP !!

The  BC government  did have  a study prepared for them…“WEST COAST SPILL RESPONSE STUDY,(by Nuka Research), VOLUME 2:     “Purpose……the BC government has a strong interest in understanding the risks associated…with increased shipping… ”  ..with FOOT   NOTE 1.   “This is NOT a ‘risk assessment’??”… “ this report COULD BE USED TO SUPPORT FUTURE COMPREHENSIVE RISK ASSESSMENTS”….OK let’s do that ….the future is now !

An ‘independent’ ,comprehensive  U.S. risk study exists……consider  collaboration with Canadian governments…with this same (US) George Washington University study group and ,together ,

produce a risk assessment for  our shared Salish Sea waters…should be able to offer another  scientific  opinion …and then decide if a safer route should be sought…king together makes sense…since we would be collaborating shouils a a spill incident happen in our shared Sea,

 

 

about the ‘soundness’ of the TMEP planned marine routing for dilbit laden tankers ….!

Our government has a stable of scientists which our PM has recognized…and has now decided to ‘strengthen’ with a new Chief Science Advisor…Assign these scientists to produce a risk assessment for the BC coast…and identify the least risk tanker marine routes…before it’s too late !

 

: Kinder Morgan Board…Don’t approve this faulty pipeline scheme…

Had  Canada  produced an independent risk assessment of this proposed  Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline (TMEP) ,the Canadian National Energy Board review process could have directed that a less risky marine route be chosen… …. In their blissful ignorance  our governments  can now ‘plan’ for these vital export revenues.

Washington State has produced a comprehensive risk assessment study about shipping  in our shared Salish Sea ……Since corporations must protect  the long term interests of their shareholders…one should expect an independent risk assessment of any major capital expenditures …to be in the Corporate interest !…Fortunately…such an ‘independent’  risk study exists…and with some updating…and possible collaboration with Canadian governments…this same George Washington University study group should be able to offer an expert opinion about the ‘soundness’ of the TMEP planned marine dilbit laden tanker routing ….! https://www.seas.gwu.edu/~dorpjr/VTRA/PSP/FINAL%20REPORT/PSP%20FINAL%20REPORT%20-%20DRAFT%20012214%20-%20HQ.pdf

 

In the public AND  shareholder interest let the corporation do the due diligence that our Canadian governments failed to carry out !

Yes, with a smarter ,alternative route, there is an opportunity  to export …more dilbit…at less cost…and at less risk ….! Think of a joint ,shared capital/operating cost venture

, single pipeline system …(possibly a combined KM /Enbridge Pipeline from Alberta to  a terminal  near Port Simpson BC …for  loading of larger tankers….!

 

And forego an incident similar to a  BC War in the Woods …or another  the Sioux Standing Rock incident….?

 

 

 

Carl Shalansky; P. Eng. (Retired);

Blog: https://redfern3359.wordpress.com/;

(604) 986-4657; North Vancouver,BC